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Erasefinalefrommemory By Destroyingstats - Blog Posts

4 years ago

genius

Ok so as of 21:15 UTC, 21st November, there have been

2,053 Total User Reviews for the Supernatural series finale, "Carry On".

Of these,

1,335 have been 1 (of 10) star reviews, while 546 have been 10 (of 10) star reviews.

That's 65% & 27% respectively.

I mean, I guess those numbers are bad enough on their own but believe it or not they're actually an improvement on this afternoon's picture, where the divide was closer to 70-20.

Now obviously, the reception looks bad, doesnt it? Yes? Yes?

Yes.

But what's worth noting is that even dealing strictly with these 2 extremes, & handing the advantage over completely to the positive side (I.e. the 10/10 ratings), you end up with something like this-

1โญ - 65%

10โญ - 35%

I.e. a 4.15 โญ average.

But the average rating is 6.6/10. I would've taken the distribution of the ratings directly but I dont see any means to access it on imdb (maybe I'm just dumb).

Which leaves us to infer indirectly from the data above, that the people rating the episode positively, aren't reviewing as much as the people rating it negatively.

From over 7,000 ratings, let's try and estimate the general distribution of responses & see how it compares to that of the subset which reviewed.

Again, dealing strictly with extremes, we can reduce the problems to two variables for which we have 2 linear equations available

Let x be the percentage of 10/10 ratings, & y that of 1/10 ratings, then

10X + Y = 6.6

X + Y = 1

I would've gone for a linear programming solution but there simply are not enough constraints without removing the other 8 variables from the equation.

So basically in an only extremes scenario, u have 38% of the audience responding negatively to the episode, while 62% are satisfied.

62% said ๐Ÿ˜๐Ÿคฃ๐Ÿ˜๐Ÿค”๐Ÿคซ๐Ÿ˜ฎ๐Ÿ˜ฏ๐Ÿ˜ฒ๐Ÿ˜ญ๐Ÿ˜Š๐Ÿ˜ญ๐Ÿ˜Š instead of ๐Ÿ™‚๐Ÿ™‚๐Ÿคจ๐Ÿ™ƒ๐Ÿ˜ถ๐Ÿ˜ช๐Ÿ˜ด๐Ÿ˜ด๐Ÿ˜ด๐Ÿ˜ด๐Ÿ˜ด

62% said 10/10.

An almost completely inverted image of the reviewer response.

Its

Interesting.

There's really nothing this proves. True to the spirit of statistics, this was mostly pointless. All that can be substantially concluded is that at the very least, the people who were disappointed by the finale felt far more strongly about it than the people who weren't. The people who cared more were the ones left heartbroken. Whatever that's worth.


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